Annotations (14)
“Four steps: choose a field, learn enough to get to the frontier, notice gaps, explore promising ones. This is how practically everyone who's done great work has done it, from painters to physicists. Steps two and four will require hard work. It may not be possible to prove that you have to work hard to do great things, but the empirical evidence is on the scale of the evidence for mortality.”
Creativity & Innovation · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Four-step universal process for discovery
“Work has a sort of activation energy, both per day and per project. And since this threshold is fake in the sense that it's higher than the energy required to keep going, it's ok to tell yourself a lie of corresponding magnitude to get over it. When I'm reluctant to start work in the morning, I often trick myself by saying 'I'll just read over what I've got so far.' Five minutes later I've found something that seems mistaken or incomplete, and I'm off.”
Psychology & Behavior · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Strategic lies overcome activation threshold
“Knowledge expands fractally, and from a distance its edges look smooth, but once you learn enough to get close to one, they turn out to be full of gaps. The next step is to notice them. This takes some skill, because your brain wants to ignore such gaps in order to make a simpler model of the world. Many discoveries have come from asking questions about things that everyone else took for granted.”
Philosophy & Reasoning · Psychology & Behavior · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Brain smooths gaps; discoveries require noticing them
“Per-project procrastination is far the more dangerous. You put off starting that ambitious project from year to year because the time isn't quite right. When you're procrastinating in units of years, you can get a lot not done. One reason per-project procrastination is so dangerous is that it usually camouflages itself as work. You're not just sitting around doing nothing; you're working industriously on something else.”
Psychology & Behavior · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Year-scale delay disguised as daily productivity
“The reason we're surprised is that we underestimate the cumulative effect of work. Writing a page a day doesn't sound like much, but if you do it every day you'll write a book a year. That's the key: consistency. People who do great things don't get a lot done every day. They get something done, rather than nothing. If you do work that compounds, you'll get exponential growth.”
Operations & Execution · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Small consistent action compounds exponentially
“The way to figure out what to work on is by working. If you're not sure what to work on, guess. But pick something and get going. You'll probably guess wrong some of the time, but that's fine. It's good to know about multiple things; some of the biggest discoveries come from noticing connections between different fields.”
Strategy & Decision Making · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Discovery requires action, not just analysis
“There's a kind of excited curiosity that's both the engine and the rudder of great work. It will not only drive you, but if you let it have its way, will also show you what to work on. What are you excessively curious about, curious to a degree that would bore most other people? That's what you're looking for.”
Psychology & Behavior · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Excessive curiosity reveals your edge
“Seeing something obvious sounds easy. And yet empirically having new ideas is hard. What's the source of this apparent contradiction? It's that seeing the new idea usually requires you to change the way you look at the world. We see the world through models that both help and constrain us. When you fix a broken model, new ideas become obvious. But noticing and fixing a broken model is hard.”
Philosophy & Reasoning · Psychology & Behavior · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Obvious after fixing broken mental model
“The first step is to decide what to work on. The work you choose needs to have three qualities: it has to be something you have a natural aptitude for, that you have a deep interest in, and that offers scope to do great work. In practice you don't have to worry much about the third criterion. Ambitious people are if anything already too conservative about it. So all you need to do is find something you have an aptitude for and great interest in.”
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Two criteria suffice: aptitude plus interest
“The core of being earnest is being intellectually honest. We're taught as children to be honest as an unselfish virtue, as a kind of sacrifice. But in fact it's a source of power too. To see new ideas, you need an exceptionally sharp eye for the truth. You're trying to see more truth than others have seen so far. And how can you have a sharp eye for the truth if you're intellectually dishonest?”
Philosophy & Reasoning · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Honesty as advantage, not sacrifice
“Work doesn't just happen when you're trying to. There's a kind of undirected thinking you do when walking or taking a shower or lying in bed that can be very powerful. By letting your mind wander a little, you'll often solve problems you were unable to solve by frontal attack. You have to be working hard in the normal way to benefit from this phenomenon, though. The daydreaming has to be interleaved with deliberate work that feeds it questions.”
Psychology & Behavior · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Diffuse thinking requires focused substrate
“One way to discover broken models is to be stricter than other people. Broken models of the world leave a trail of clues where they bash against reality. Most people don't want to see these clues. It would be an understatement to say that they're attached to their current model; it's what they think in; so they'll tend to ignore the trail of clues left by its breakage, however conspicuous it may seem in retrospect.”
Philosophy & Reasoning · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Strictness reveals model-reality conflicts
“Great things are almost always made in successive versions. You start with something small and evolve it, and the final version is both cleverer and more ambitious than anything you could have planned. Begin by trying the simplest thing that could possibly work. Surprisingly often, it does. If it doesn't, this will at least get you started.”
Operations & Execution · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Start simple, evolve through versions
“Being prolific is underrated. The more different things you try, the greater the chance of discovering something new. Understand, though, that trying lots of things will mean trying lots of things that don't work. You can't have a lot of good ideas without also having a lot of bad ones.”
Creativity & Innovation · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Volume increases discovery odds
Frameworks (2)
The Four-Step Discovery Process
Universal Method for Doing Great Work
A four-step process used by everyone who has done great work across all domains: choose a field where you have aptitude and interest, learn enough to reach the frontier of knowledge, notice gaps in the existing work, and explore promising gaps. The process emphasizes that hard work is required in steps two and four, and that the empirical evidence for the necessity of hard work is overwhelming.
Components
- Choose a field
- Learn enough to reach the frontier
- Notice gaps
- Explore promising gaps
Prerequisites
- Ambition to do great work
- Willingness to work hard
- Intellectual honesty
Success Indicators
- Reaching knowledge frontier
- Identifying overlooked gaps
- Making novel discoveries
Failure Modes
- Choosing work based on prestige not interest
- Stopping before reaching frontier
- Ignoring gaps due to cognitive bias
- Giving up on exploration too quickly
Iterative Creation Through Successive Versions
Start Small, Evolve Continuously
A development methodology where great work emerges through successive versions rather than comprehensive planning. Begin with the simplest thing that could possibly work, ship it, learn from it, and evolve it. The final version will be cleverer and more ambitious than anything that could have been planned upfront.
Components
- Start with the simplest version
- Ship it quickly
- Evolve based on response
Prerequisites
- Tolerance for early imperfection
- Access to users or reality
- Discipline to avoid overbuilding
Success Indicators
- Rapid first version
- Regular version releases
- Clear evolution visible across versions
Failure Modes
- Taking too long to ship first version
- Second system effect (cramming too much into version 2)
- Planning instead of iterating
Mental Models (7)
Bias Toward Action
Decision MakingWhen facing uncertainty about what to work on, take action rather than prolonged analysis.
In Practice: Explaining how to figure out what to work on
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Confirmation Bias / Model Defense
PsychologyThe brain actively resists noticing gaps or contradictions in its mental models.
In Practice: Explaining why noticing gaps in knowledge requires active effort
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Time Scale Blindness
TimePeople systematically overestimate what can be done in a day and underestimate w
In Practice: Explaining the danger of per-project procrastination
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Exponential Growth (Early-Stage Underestimation)
MathematicsExponential curves feel flat in the beginning, making it difficult to intuitivel
In Practice: Explaining why people don't consciously invest in exponential growth opportuniti
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Compounding Effects
EconomicsSmall consistent actions compound over time to produce disproportionate results.
In Practice: Explaining why consistency is more important than daily magnitude
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Model-Reality Fit
Systems ThinkingWe see the world through mental models that both help and constrain us. When the
In Practice: Explaining why new ideas seem simultaneously obvious and hard to discover
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Volume Increases Probability
Probability & StatisticsThe more attempts you make, the greater your probability of success.
In Practice: Explaining why being prolific is underrated
Demonstrated by Leg-pg-001
Connective Tissue (2)
Fractal geometry
Knowledge expansion is compared to fractal geometry: from a distance, the edges of knowledge look smooth and complete, but as you approach the frontier, you discover they are full of gaps and irregularities. This mathematical property of self-similarity at different scales illuminates why discovering new insights requires getting close to the frontier; the gaps only become visible at sufficient resolution.
Explaining why reaching the frontier of knowledge is necessary to identify opportunities for contribution
Activation energy in chemistry
Work has activation energy, borrowed from chemical reaction theory where reactions require an initial energy input to overcome a barrier, after which they proceed with less energy. In work, the energy required to start (both daily and per-project) is artificially high compared to the energy required to continue. This explains why strategic self-deception to overcome the starting barrier is rational; the threshold is fake in that the steady-state energy requirement is much lower.
Explaining why it's acceptable to trick yourself to get started on work
Key People (5)
G. H. Hardy
(1877–1947)English mathematician who wrote A Mathematician's Apology
Albrecht Durer
(1471–1528)German Renaissance artist who revealed latent potential in existing forms
James Watt
(1736–1819)Scottish inventor who improved the steam engine
Linus Pauling
(1901–1994)American chemist
Daniel Mytens
(1590–1647)Dutch portrait painter active in England in the 1630s
Concepts (1)
Activation energy
CL_SCIENCEThe minimum energy required to start a chemical reaction; metaphorically, the initial energy barrier to starting work
Synthesis
Synthesis
Migrated from Scholia