Annotations (26)
“Morris has the core insight here. He says, when I was at TI and General Instruments, I saw a lot of integrated circuit designers wanting to leave and set up their own business, but the one thing or the biggest thing that stopped them from leaving those companies was they couldn't raise enough money to form their own company.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Platform beats portfolio
“Morris notices what they're doing—setting up these new plants for all these successive new methodologies and processes of manufacturing integrated circuits and silicon semiconductors and pumping out these chips—is super expensive to do this, super capital-intensive. What TI and everybody else in the industry did, when they would start a new product line that would use a new fab for chips, they charged a lot of money for it because man, they put a lot of money into these things.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Economics & Markets · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Price low to drive yield learning
“Morris says, it was like in the movie The Godfather. It was an offer I couldn't refuse. Then a day later, Li supposedly is like, actually, I'm going to need you to come in on Friday, so you got three days. Morris comes up with this brilliant idea to create a pure-play foundry company, to be a contract manufacturer. At that time, was this a good idea? Well, no. The answer is no.”— Jerry Sanders
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Pure-play foundry seemed insane
“The semiconductor business is like a treadmill that speeds up all the time. If you can't keep up, you fall off. From 22, down to two, down to one. Even when their competitors are only doing the one thing that TSMC has done, if you fall behind by a step, you're toast. In order to stay on that treadmill, the number of tens of billions of dollars that you need to be spending on CapEx is going up. You need to be enormously profitable so you can build the factories for the next generation.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Money can't buy process power
“This creates this insane flywheel for TSMC. The fabless market starts to grow, which they're seeding and enabling it. As that happens, TSMC's revenue grows. Because they have 50% gross margins and 40% operating margins, they can take that profit and apply more advanced machinery to build more fabs. Advance the level of their technology. As they pushed the manufacturing process technology forward, they're manufacturing better chips with smaller process links.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Profit funds tech leads to more profit
“In 2012, Morris Chang, 78–80 years old, gets the Apple deal done. Bloomberg reported that it was a really big risk for both companies, both Apple and TSMC. Apple was relying on a company that was then seen as an also-ran. The quote is, I think this is actually Jeff Williams, if we were to bet heavily on TSMC, there would be no backup plan.”— Ben Gilbert
Strategy & Decision Making · Leadership & Management
DUR_ENDURING
$9B bet on Apple with Morris at 80
“In 2009, surprise press conference, TSMC, they announce that Morris is returning to lead TSMC as CEO. Rick is out. Morris is coming back for the third act of his career. He's like Jordan. He's beyond Jordan at this point. He's coming back. He's going to be CEO again at age 78. Why does Morris come back? In the press release, there's a quote from Morris and he says, one, this move will not affect TSMC's fighting spirit and is likely to spur greater intensity.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Leadership & Management
DUR_ENDURING
Returned at 78 for mobile wave
“Morris, he's on the grind. He gets posted as a Junior Engineer at Sylvania's Ipswich, Massachusetts plant. He's living in a hotel. He doesn't even get an apartment. He goes home back to the hotel from work, and he studies the best textbook that he can find about electrical engineering, which is entitled Electrons and Holes in Semiconductors with Applications to Transistor Electronics written just a couple of years before, in 1950 by William Shockley.”— David Rosenthal
Creativity & Innovation · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Bar-based mentorship system
“Morris gets assigned as his first project to a problem child within TI. They have entered into a deal with IBM. IBM is working on their first mainframe computer that's going to use transistor logic instead of vacuum tubes, the IBM 7090. Usually, IBM manufactures everything for all their products themselves, but they're like, we need more chips than we're going to be able to make ourselves so we need a second source for chips. IBM's own plant is churning out transistors with about a 10% yield.”— David Rosenthal
Operations & Execution · Technology & Engineering
DUR_ENDURING
0% to 20% yield in 4 months
“After three years, Morris wants to stay and do a PhD, but as he's learning the industry and coming up to speed, it becomes pretty clear to him that if he really wants to go places in this new emerging industry, Sylvania is not really the right bus to be on. Morris says that the moment when this crystallized for him was there was a talk that a senior manager at Sylvania gave at the plant and the quote that the senior manager said that stuck with Morris for the rest of his life was, we at Sylvania...”— Morris Chang
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Ultimate dysfunction signal
“Never make strategic decisions based on economics. This is a prime example. We talked about this all the time on this show, VCs passing overvaluation on something. Andreessen getting cold feet about a $300 million valuation on Uber. This Intel move, passing on being partnering with Apple. And maybe more specifically than economics because you could imagine that you would want to pass on this if Intel then can be the upside from the deal.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Never let price kill strategic deals
“If you're only looking at the outcomes that happened, you cannot reverse engineer what the probability that would happen is. This is a very abstract way of me saying, the strategy of if you build it they will come that Morris implemented is a bad strategy, and it also worked. This is what Sequoia and Don Valentine hated. They would never invest in developing a market. That was like rule number one. We invest when the market already exists, not when we need to develop it.”— Ben Gilbert
Philosophy & Reasoning · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Outcomes don't reveal strategy quality
“Morris realized he has a new problem in America and at Harvard. His parents aren't coming over. He's on his own. He's got to support himself and make his own way. At that time, his race is probably going to limit his opportunities. As he says, in the early 50s in the United States, there were Chinese laundrymen, Chinese restaurateurs, Chinese engineers, and Chinese professors. Those were the only respectable professions for Chinese. No lawyers, no accountants, no politicians.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Constraints shaped educational path
“Legend has it, Morris has a couple of job offers. The one he really wants is from the Ford Motor Company. Ford offers him a salary of $479 a month to go take an entry-level job. And then he has a competing offer from Sylvania's new Semiconductor Division. They offer him a salary of $480 a month, $1 more. Legend has it that Morris asked Ford to beat Sylvania's offer. They didn't, so he took the Sylvania job offer.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
$1 changed everything
“After these two setbacks, at TI and GI, I did not think that my aspiration to be the CEO of a major US company was in the cards. Well, turns out he was right. He was not going to be the CEO of a major US company. The Taiwanese government wanted to come up in the world. They knew that technology was the way.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Took Taiwan job against all advice
“In the early 2000s, when TSMC finally caught up to the leading edge level of technology with other semiconductor companies, there were 22 companies that were at the leading edge. By the late 2000s, it had gone from 22 down to 14 that were at the leading edge. By the mid-2010s, there were six. Today, there are two at 5-nanometer process is the current leading edge. It's only TSMC and Samsung. The next process is going to be 3 nanometers. TSMC is going to launch that next year.”— David Rosenthal
Economics & Markets · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
22 to 2 competitors at leading edge
“On one side of the machine, you drop molten tin. On the other side of the machine, you then hit it with a highly specialized laser. You perfectly pulse them. It explodes into a plasma, which creates extreme ultraviolet light. Of course, this is hard enough to do as you can imagine how that might work, but you actually have to do that 50,000 times per second.”— Ben Gilbert
Technology & Engineering
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
50K laser pulses/sec at moon precision
“Morris, before he turns 18, has lived through 3 major wars: the Second Sino-Japanese War, World War II, and the Chinese Civil War. His early childhood years were like middle class, not wealthy, but pretty well-to-do. Then when he was six, the Second Sino-Japanese War breaks out. Morris and his mom flee the main part of China to Hong Kong. Then December 8th, 1941, three hours after Pearl Harbor, the Japanese attacked and invade Hong Kong. They flee again back to China.”— David Rosenthal
Psychology & Behavior · History & Geopolitics
DUR_ENDURING
Fled three wars before age 18
“Morris basically begs all of his old colleagues in the US, European, and Japanese semiconductor industries to just give the dregs to TSMC. The IDMs would let us manufacture their wafers only when they didn't have capacity, or when they didn't want to manufacture the stuff themselves anymore. Now, when they didn't have the capacity, and asked us to do the manufacturing, then as soon as they got the capacity, they would stop giving us orders, so it wasn't a stable market.”— Morris Chang
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Survived on unwanted business
“Morris gets accepted to Harvard. His reaction entering Harvard was sheer ecstasy, almost disbelief. What a country! The United States was at its peak in its moral leadership, its political leadership in terms of democracy, and it was the richest country in the world. Not to mention stable. You could say what you want. You could count on the fact that it's likely that 10 years from now, whatever economic structure or political structures exist will continue to exist.”— Morris Chang
Business & Entrepreneurship · History & Geopolitics
DUR_ENDURING
Stability enables innovation
Frameworks (3)
Self-Education Under Constraints
Building expertise without formal instruction
A systematic approach to acquiring technical expertise when formal educational resources are unavailable, using textbooks, unofficial mentors, and structured self-study routines.
Components
- Identify the knowledge gap
- Source the best available materials
- Create structured study time
- Find an unofficial mentor
Prerequisites
- Basic literacy in the domain
- Access to quality source materials
- Humility to seek help
Success Indicators
- Ability to solve practical problems in the domain
- Reduced dependency on the mentor over time
Failure Modes
- Abandoning routine after initial difficulty
- Never finding a mentor
- Studying without application
Learning Curve Pricing
Using price to accelerate manufacturing capability
A counter-intuitive pricing strategy for high-fixed-cost manufacturing businesses where pricing low initially drives volume, which accelerates learning and yield improvements, which creates sustainable cost advantages.
Components
- Identify the learning rate
- Calculate the volume-cost relationship
- Price for maximum volume
- Execute on yield improvements
- Continue pricing discipline
Prerequisites
- High fixed costs
- Steep learning curve
- Large addressable market
- Patient capital
Success Indicators
- Sustained cost leadership
- Market share gains
- Competitor attrition
Failure Modes
- Running out of cash before reaching cost parity
- Competitors matching price without catching up on learning
- Demand insufficient to drive learning
Self-Reinforcing Platform Flywheel
Building compounding advantages through customer success
A platform business model where profits fund technology advancement, which enables customer success, which drives adoption and revenue, which funds further advancement in a self-reinforcing cycle.
Components
- Establish positive unit economics
- Reinvest in platform capability
- Enable customer success
- Grow through word-of-mouth
- Scale investment with revenue
- Create winner-take-most dynamics
Prerequisites
- Platform with clear customer value proposition
- Patient capital
- High reinvestment discipline
Success Indicators
- Revenue growth accelerating over time
- Competitor market share declining
- Customer acquisition costs declining
Failure Modes
- Distributing profits instead of reinvesting
- Customers not achieving success
- Competitors matching investment
- Flywheel too slow to ever take off
Mental Models (17)
Formative Adversity
PsychologyEarly exposure to instability and adversity can create resilience and risk tolerance that persists throughout life.
In Practice: Morris Chang's childhood experience fleeing three wars before age 18
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Constraints as Strategy Filter
Decision MakingExternal constraints (financial, social, geographic) can function as effective strategy filters by eliminating options and forcing focus on the few viable paths forward. What appears to limit options may actually clarify decisions.
In Practice: Racial constraints in 1950s America forced Morris into engineering, which proved to be his optimal path
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Resourcefulness Multiplier
Decision MakingWhen direct resources are unavailable, resourcefulness in creating alternative paths compounds returns. Finding unofficial mentors, alternative learning methods, or workarounds often provides superior results to conventional approaches.
In Practice: Morris creating a bar-based mentorship system to learn electrical engineering from a textbook
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Small Hinges Swing Big Doors
TimeSeemingly trivial decisions can create enormous path dependence. A $1 difference
In Practice: A $1 salary difference led Morris to semiconductors instead of automotive, chang
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Learning Curve Economics
EconomicsIn high-fixed-cost manufacturing with steep learning curves, current costs are a poor predictor of future costs. Pricing for volume to accelerate learning can create cost advantages that justify initial losses.
In Practice: Morris's learning curve pricing strategy at TI that made them the largest semiconductor company
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Operating Leverage Timing
Strategic ThinkingHigh fixed-cost businesses should optimize for maximum utilization and fastest possible movement dow
In Practice: TI's decision to price low and drive volume to accelerate yield improvements
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Unbundling Integrated Value Chains
Strategic ThinkingWhen incumbents are vertically integrated, creating a horizontal specialist in one layer can unlock
In Practice: Pure-play foundry model unbundling chip design from chip manufacturing
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Platform vs. Portfolio
Strategic ThinkingWhen facing a nascent market, you can either invest in individual participants (portfolio) or become
In Practice: Morris choosing to enable all fabless companies rather than investing in them individually
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Self-Reinforcing Flywheels
Systems ThinkingIn platform businesses, each cycle of investment, customer success, and revenue
In Practice: TSMC's flywheel where profits fund technology which enables customers which gene
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Compounding Through Reinvestment
EconomicsBusinesses that reinvest profits into improving their competitive position compound faster than those that distribute profits. The key is maintaining a consistent reinvestment rate as absolute scale increases.
In Practice: TSMC taking 50% gross margins and plowing most operating profit back into CapEx
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Winner-Take-Most Markets
EconomicsIn industries with high fixed costs, steep learning curves, and network effects, early leaders tend to consolidate market share over time rather than reaching equilibrium. The market structure naturally moves toward concentration.
In Practice: Semiconductor leading-edge going from 22 competitors to 2 over 20 years
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Process Power Cannot Be Bought
Strategic ThinkingIn businesses built on accumulated process knowledge, capital alone cannot create competitive parity
In Practice: Even unlimited government spending cannot replicate TSMC's decades of accumulated manufacturing expe
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Paradigm Shift Timing
TimeMajor technological paradigm shifts create windows where accumulated advantages
In Practice: Morris returning to TSMC at 78 to capture the mobile computing paradigm shift
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Founder Conviction Premium
Decision MakingTransformational bets that require multi-billion dollar commitments and years to payoff can only be made by leaders with founder-level conviction and authority. Professional managers optimize for quarterly performance; founders optimize for decade-plus outcomes.
In Practice: Only Morris at 80 years old could commit $9 billion to build Apple-dedicated fabs
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Sustained Compounding
MathematicsSmall differences in growth rates create enormous differences in outcomes over l
In Practice: TSMC's 17.4% revenue CAGR and 19.9% IRR over 27 years
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Never Negotiate Price on Strategic Assets
Decision MakingWhen a relationship, hire, or partnership has strategic value, allowing price to kill the deal is a category error. The decision criterion should be strategic fit, not price optimization. Price negotiations should be reserved for commodity transactions.
In Practice: Ford losing Morris over $1, Intel losing Apple over pricing, as examples of strategic errors from price optimization
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Outcome Bias in Strategy Assessment
Probability & StatisticsSuccessful outcomes do not necessarily validate the strategy that produced them.
In Practice: The question of whether if you build it they will come was good strategy or just got lucky
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Connective Tissue (2)
Y Combinator as startup accelerator platform
Morris Chang's pure-play foundry strategy is structurally analogous to Y Combinator's platform model. Rather than investing in individual fabless semiconductor startups like a traditional VC, TSMC became the shared infrastructure that enabled ALL fabless startups to exist. Similarly, Y Combinator realized that instead of investing in startups one at a time, they could create a platform that systematically enabled startup creation. Both are index bets on the entire future of an industry, achieved by becoming the essential infrastructure rather than picking individual winners.
David Rosenthal explicitly draws this parallel when discussing Morris's decision not to become a VC but instead to enable all fabless companies
Apollo moon mission trajectory calculations
The precision required for ASML's EUV lithography machines to hit molten tin drops with lasers 50,000 times per second exceeds the accuracy needed to calculate Apollo mission trajectories to the moon. This provides a visceral comparison point for understanding the engineering difficulty of modern semiconductor manufacturing. While Apollo missions required calculating a trajectory once for a single mission, EUV lithography requires that same level of precision executed continuously at rates imperceptible to human observation.
Ben Gilbert explaining the technical complexity of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines
Key Figures (6)
Donald Valentine
3 mentionsCo-founder of Sequoia Capital
Also worked at Sylvania Semiconductor Division at the same time as Morris Chang.
KT Li
2 mentionsTaiwanese Government Minister
IBM Engineering Team
1 mentionsIBM 7090 Mainframe Engineers
Jerry Sanders
1 mentionsCo-founder and CEO of AMD
Jeff Williams
1 mentionsApple COO
Don Valentine
1 mentionsFounder of Sequoia Capital
Glossary (1)
lithography
DOMAIN_JARGONProcess of etching patterns onto silicon wafers using light
“ASML Lithography makes the machines that use extreme ultraviolet light to etch nanometer-scale patterns”
Key People (2)
Warren Buffett
(1930–)American investor born 1930 in Omaha
William Shockley
(1910–1989)Co-inventor of transistor at Bell Labs
Concepts (3)
learning curve pricing
CL_STRATEGYStrategy of pricing low to drive volume and accelerate manufacturing yield improvements
pure-play foundry
CL_TECHNICALSemiconductor manufacturer that only makes chips, never designs them
extreme ultraviolet lithography
CL_TECHNICALManufacturing technique using plasma-generated light to etch nanoscale patterns