Annotations (18)
“I started calling up some of our big vendors for big expensive items and said, I don't want net 120 anymore. I want to prepay you for the next 3 months. They had never had that phone call from a restaurant before. I'm going to use 400 pounds of your beef a week for the next 4 months, which is about $300,000 of beef. What do we got if I prepay you? He called me the next day. He said $18 a pound, half, half price. I went, I'll pay you $20 if you tell me why.”— Nick Kokonas
Operations & Execution · Economics & Markets · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Prepayment eliminates waste, halves COGS
“Two words that we would avoid were avant-garde and science. No one wants to eat science. And then the two words that we used in every interview and still do, fun and delicious. When you go to a great restaurant, whether that be your corner bar or the best Michelin experience, it's fun. It's not snooty. You feel like you're part of this pageant that's going on in fine dining. You should be one of the actors, not an audience member.”— Nick Kokonas
Leadership & Management · Psychology & Behavior · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Avoid alienating, embrace universal appeal
“Know what you're selling and then actually sell it. There should be a business course on that. If I ask Gramercy Tavern what you're selling, they'd say food. No, you're actually selling 7 different experiences plus some merchandise. You haven't categorized those experiences until after someone comes in. You haven't even informed the consumer that they exist. People can't buy what you aren't selling.”— Nick Kokonas
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Can't buy what you don't sell
“When we started building Alinea, I would just drill into him, this will be run as a business first. It's not an art project. It's a business. If we run it well as a business, then we can invest more in the art and it becomes a virtuous cycle. The barrier to entry to a restaurant is you sign a lease and build a kitchen and start cooking. Consequently, there's going to be a high failure rate.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Business first enables art investment
“I don't understand the business until I can write about it on a single page. I have chefs all the time email me with business plans. I say, do me a favor, write up one page of what it's like as a diner to eat at your restaurant. I don't hear from them for 2 months, if ever, because they don't have a clear vision. They have a clear vision of what food they want to give to someone.”— Nick Kokonas
Strategy & Decision Making · Philosophy & Reasoning · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Can't write one page means unclear vision
“When in your life do you feel like something's new? The older you get, the fewer new experiences that you have. How do you become more childlike? What is a way to make an adult feel like a kid again? One was the balloon dessert. When you're a kid, you get a helium balloon and you can play with that thing for hours. It's magical. We figured out how to make an edible helium balloon. We should send the chefs into the dining room and have them plate on this giant plate.”— Nick Kokonas
Creativity & Innovation · Psychology & Behavior · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Ask what makes adults feel like kids
“Baseball games, concerts, theater, every other form of entertainment does some sort of ticketing. I was told that it was a terrible idea because restaurants are not entertainment. What's really fascinating about restaurants and food in general is that because we are biological creatures that need to eat, people have all sorts of emotional and cultural and ethical baggage on top of what a restaurant is. At the heart though, you don't need to eat out. Eating out is a social endeavor.”— Nick Kokonas
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Restaurants are entertainment, not sustenance
“Tuesday Is Not Saturday and 7 Other Things You Already Know But Are Doing Nothing About. More people eat out on Saturday night. What are you going to do about that? How are you going to get more people in on Tuesday? What levers are you going to pull to get them in? The whole industry just went like, yeah, no, we're too good for that. We're not going to pull the pricing lever because we might piss off the people on Saturday night.”— Nick Kokonas
Economics & Markets · Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Industry refuses obvious pricing lever
“We publish all of our own books. Done. Not that hard. If you ask an author, ask any author, how much did it cost to print the book? What are your COGS? They will not know. Ask any literary agent that question and they'll think you're off your rocker. Ask any publisher to give you that information transparently and they will rip up your contract. A $50 retail book costs about $2 to print and you're going to get 10% of cover price.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Economics & Markets · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
$2 COGS, $50 retail, 10% royalty
“The first day we sold $562,000 in tickets to a restaurant. For the first time ever. 5 or 6 or 7 years of me kind of looking at this going like, I'm pretty sure this will work. And everybody in the industry telling me no and all my employees rolling their eyes at me. I had a 5-second time machine on the market when I was a trader. I could see what was going on in New York 5 seconds before it arrived in Chicago. This felt like the same thing.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Operations & Execution · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
$562K day one proves time machine advantage
“The trickier part is realizing that something could be an existential risk has a small chance of happening, but it's non-zero. When Seattle started having some cases, that's the moment where I went, the whole industry is totally screwed if this happens. Every time I saw senior officials on TV saying that this is nothing to worry about, I worried more and more. They wouldn't even be talking about it if it was nothing to worry about.”— Nick Kokonas
Strategy & Decision Making · Leadership & Management · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
10% wipeout risk demands preparation
“Why in the world do we have an empty table right now when we have 60 people on the waitlist? Well, they just didn't show up. Why is it that I go to a restaurant, have an 8 o'clock reservation, and then I'm told to wait for 45 minutes? They lied to me and told me they had an 8 o'clock table when they knew that they didn't have one till 9 o'clock. And why would they do that?”— Nick Kokonas
Operations & Execution · Economics & Markets · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Lying cascade costs $1M annually
“I would email 2 people that were either diners or posted on their blog about their dinner every single day for the first 10 years of Alinea. Over the course of a year, I would email 700 customers and they'd be like, holy cow. That's a very simple thing. It took me about 5 minutes a day to do. I think that knowing your customer literally, who is it, and then having the ability to interact with them in an authentic way is the key to all business.”— Nick Kokonas
Leadership & Management · Business & Entrepreneurship · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
5 min/day, 700 customers/year compound
“Stranger danger. Your customers cannot be strangers. You need to know who they are. In the restaurant business, anyone can walk in and you have no idea who they are. Almost any other business, you are going to have some information about that customer so you can remarket to them. You can take that customer and aggregate them into a pool of customers, upload them into Facebook and Instagram and say, create a like customer list within 3 square miles of my restaurant. All of these tools exist.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Operations & Execution · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Email is unique identifier for remarketing
“When I noticed that in the room, normally I would have a nice explanation as to why this is the case. Instead, I just said, anyone who doesn't do it is fired, and you won't have a job for 2 years anywhere because that's how serious this is going to be. People went from going, oh, he's unhinged and we're just not going to do it, to he's unhinged and he's going to fire us all, which doesn't mean that they wanted to do it, but it did mean that it got the job done.”— Nick Kokonas
Leadership & Management · Psychology & Behavior · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
Certainty in uncertainty enables action
“We were able to massively undercut the third-party delivery applications. Until then, they were supplemental income to restaurants so they could say, I'm charging 20% to 30% because you have no service COGS. But when it became their only source of revenue, that 30% suddenly looked egregious. We charged a flat 3%. In the intervening since March, we've signed up over 3,000 restaurants. Our business will be at a billion-dollar GMV run rate by the end of the year.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making · Operations & Execution
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
3% vs 30% in crisis accelerates adoption
“Not everything has a measurable outcome. If you're working on a software product and you change the color of something, you can test it. But more than that, trying different products entirely, different lines of revenue, you need to get to some sort of completion where there is an outcome that can be measured. I see a lot of people starting businesses and spending time drawing logos in a notebook. That's not a measurable thing. You haven't produced anything. You haven't tested it.”— Nick Kokonas
Operations & Execution · Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Logo-drawing is not shipping product
“Own something, make lots of decisions that have outcomes, try to be right 51% of the time. Do that often and repeat. The way to create wealth in America was different for different populations. For the Greeks, it was own something. If you own it and you grow, you make more money. I want to own things because that's a more likely path to wealth creation. And I want to have responsibility for it. I don't want my fate decided by someone else.”— Nick Kokonas
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Casino model: small edge, many iterations
Frameworks (3)
Three-Entity Business Structure
Aligning long-term interests across investors, operators, and management
Creating three separate legal entities (investor LLC, operating company, management company) to structure a single business ensures interest alignment across all stakeholders. This prevents short-term extraction behavior, protects creative operations from quarterly pressure, and enables sustainable reinvestment in quality. Originally designed for high-end restaurants but applies to any passion-business hybrid.
Components
- Create Investor LLC
- Create Operating Company
- Create Management Company
Messaging Discipline Framework
Controlling narrative through systematic word choice
Identify words that alienate your target audience and systematically avoid them in all communications. Simultaneously, identify 2-3 universal positive attributes and use them in every interview, presentation, and customer interaction. This creates message consistency while maximizing appeal. Originally developed for fine dining but applies to any business seeking mass appeal in a niche perceived as exclusive or intimidating.
Components
- Identify Alienating Words
- Identify Universal Positive Attributes
- Enforce Religiously
- Test and Iterate
Revenue Stream Identification Framework
Enumerate, categorize, expose, and sell all revenue sources
Most businesses have 5-10 distinct revenue streams but only actively sell 1-2 of them. This framework forces enumeration of every revenue source (products, services, experiences, private events, merchandise), categorization by customer type, exposure to customers at the point of decision, and deliberate selling mechanisms for each. Originated in restaurants but applies to any business with multiple revenue streams.
Components
- Enumerate All Revenue Sources
- Categorize by Customer Decision Point
- Expose at Point of Sale
- Measure and Optimize
Mental Models (19)
Lying Cascade Economics
EconomicsWhen competitors lie about availability (telling customers 8pm when they have 9pm), truthful businesses must match the lie or lose customers. This creates a race-to-the-bottom lying cascade where all participants defect. Breaking the cascade requires changing the rules (ticketing with deposits) to make lying costly.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining why restaurants lie about reservation times
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Time-Based Price Elasticity
EconomicsDemand varies by time, but most businesses price uniformly. Saturday 8pm restaurant slots are worth 3x Tuesday 9pm slots to customers, but restaurants charge the same. Dynamic pricing (proven in sports, airlines, hotels) captures this elasticity but requires overcoming cultural resistance.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining Tuesday Is Not Saturday framework and industry resistance to dynamic pricing
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Forward Purchasing Waste Elimination
EconomicsSuppliers incur waste costs when buyers delay payment (net 120). Prepaying eliminates supplier waste, enabling 50%+ discounts because suppliers recover carrying costs and avoid spoilage. The buyer gains lower COGS; the supplier gains cash flow and reduced waste. Both win.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how prepaying for beef eliminated dry-aging waste and halved costs
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Casino Model: Small Edge, High Repetition
Strategic ThinkingLike a casino, winning requires only slight edge (51% vs 49%) applied over many iterations. Ownership combined with high decision velocity compounds small advantages into sustained wealth creation. The house doesn't need to win every hand, just a slight majority over thousands of hands.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining his ownership philosophy rooted in trading floor experience
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Outcome Completion Bias
Decision MakingDecisions without measurable outcomes create illusion of progress. Logo design in a notebook feels productive but produces nothing testable. Favor completion over perfection: get to an outcome that can be measured, even if imperfect, over endless refinement of non-shipped work.
In Practice: Kokonas warning against preparation theater that never ships
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Question-Driven Innovation
Decision MakingInnovation begins with asking the right question, not brainstorming solutions. Alinea asked 'how do you make an adult feel like a kid again?' which generated the helium balloon and table-plate desserts. Starting with a well-framed question produces more creative solutions than starting with constraints or existing solutions.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how questioning generated innovative dessert experiences
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Category Reframing
Decision MakingBusiness model innovation often requires reframing the category. Restaurants resisted ticketing because 'restaurants aren't entertainment,' but eating out IS entertainment (not biological necessity). Reframing the category unlocks business models already proven in the reframed category.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining why reframing restaurants as entertainment justified ticketing
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Certainty Projection in Crisis
Decision MakingWhen you're uncertain but the situation demands action, project absolute certainty to enable team execution. The discipline is not dishonesty but recognition that paralyzed teams debate forever. Conviction (real or projected) breaks paralysis. Being wrong with conviction beats being right too late.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how he enforced COVID protocols despite team skepticism
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Fire-Everyone Authority
Decision MakingWhen existential crisis demands immediate compliance, threaten termination instead of explaining. Explanation invites debate; termination threat forces action. This is crisis leadership, not sustainable management. Use sparingly: only when delay means death and you're confident you're right.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how he forced COVID protocol compliance by threatening termination
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
One-Page Clarity Test
Decision MakingIf you cannot describe your business on one page from the customer's perspective, you don't understand the business. The constraint forces clarity: what experience are you creating for whom? Founders who cannot pass this test have product clarity but not customer clarity, which dooms execution.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining his philosophy degree influence: clarity through concise writing
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Information Asymmetry Tax
EconomicsWhen one party in a transaction hides unit economics, they extract a 'tax' from the ignorant party. Publishers hide printing costs ($2) from authors receiving 10% of $50 retail, extracting 80% margin while claiming to provide value. Discovering true COGS enables vertical integration or renegotiation.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining publishing economics and why he self-publishes
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Tail Risk Over-Preparation
Probability & StatisticsIf an event has 10% chance of occurring but 100% chance of wiping you out, treat it as 100% certain for planning purposes. Over-preparation for tail risks is rational because the downside of under-preparation (death) vastly exceeds the cost of preparation. Better to be wrong and prepared than right and dead.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining COVID preparation 2.5 weeks before shutdowns
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Alienating Language Filter
PsychologyTechnical or exclusive language automatically eliminates 90% of potential audience. Identifying and systematically avoiding alienating words while replacing with universally positive attributes maximizes appeal without sacrificing quality. The discipline is the key, not the specific words.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining Alinea's messaging discipline: avoid avant-garde and science, use fun and delicious
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Art-Commerce Virtuous Cycle
Strategic ThinkingRunning artistic endeavors as profitable businesses (not vanity projects) enables reinvestment in art quality, creating a virtuous cycle. Profitability funds better art, better art attracts more customers, more customers fund more profitability. Breaking this cycle by prioritizing either art or commerce exclusively causes failure.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining Alinea's business-first structure enabling artistic investment
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Hidden Revenue Streams
Strategic ThinkingMost businesses sell 5-10 things but only actively promote 1-2. Enumerating and deliberately exposing all revenue streams increases revenue per customer 15-30% with no additional COGS. The insight: people can't buy what you don't sell, even if it exists.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how restaurants have 7-10 revenue streams but only sell 1-2
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Stranger Danger Principle
Strategic ThinkingBusinesses cannot optimize for unknown customers. Collecting customer identifiers (email, not phone) enables remarketing, lookalike targeting, and personalization. Platforms that intermediate the customer relationship (OpenTable, publishers) extract value by keeping customers as strangers to the business.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining why restaurants must capture customer email addresses
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Crisis Fee Arbitrage
Strategic ThinkingWhen crisis converts supplemental revenue into primary revenue, existing fee structures become intolerable. DoorDash's 30% fee was acceptable when it was 10% of revenue; unacceptable when it became 100%. Competitors who undercut during crisis (Tock's 3%) capture permanently switched customers even after crisis ends.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining how COVID made DoorDash's 30% fee intolerable and enabled Tock's 3% to win customers
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Daily Customer Touch Compounding
Strategic ThinkingFive minutes per day spent engaging individual customers (emailing, commenting, calling) compounds into 700+ personal touches per year. These touches create disproportionate loyalty and word-of-mouth because customers perceive the business as caring about them individually, not as revenue units.
In Practice: Kokonas explaining his 10-year practice of emailing 2 customers daily
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
First-Mover Time Machine
TimeBeing first with a new business model or technology creates a temporary time machine advantage. For restaurants, ticketing gave Kokonas visibility into demand weeks/months ahead, enabling superior capital and operations planning. The advantage compounds until competitors catch up.
In Practice: Kokonas comparing restaurant ticketing advantage to his 5-second time machine as a derivatives trader
Demonstrated by Leg-nk-001
Connective Tissue (3)
Picasso 1920s documentary as self-promotion vs. Alinea media strategy
Picasso, the greatest living artist of the 1920s, agreed to be filmed painting to promote himself.
Kokonas explaining how Picasso documentary inspired Alinea media strategy
Sports stadium seat pricing (50-yard line vs. nosebleeds) vs. restaurant time-based pricing
Sports venues price seats by location and fans accept this. Restaurants have identical dynamics but historically refused to price differently.
Kokonas using sports stadium seat pricing to justify dynamic restaurant pricing
Baseball games, concerts, theater ticketing vs. restaurant reservations
Every other form of entertainment uses ticketing with advance payment and variable pricing, yet restaurants resisted this model for decades.
Kokonas explaining why restaurant ticketing faced industry resistance
Key Figures (5)
Grant Achatz
8 mentionsChef and Co-founder of Alinea
Martin Kastner
1 mentionsDesigner at Crucial Detail
Brian Fitzpatrick
1 mentionsFormer Head of Google Chicago, Tock Co-founder
Jason Heltzer
1 mentionsPartner at Origin Ventures
Alan Hamburger
1 mentionsMedia and Publishing Director, Former Pixar Employee
Glossary (1)
dry aging
DOMAIN_JARGONControlled decomposition of meat in cold storage to concentrate flavor and tenderize texture
“After 35 days, there's only a handful of places that sell dry-aged beef for more than 35 days.”
Key People (1)
Pablo Picasso
(1881–1973)Spanish painter and sculptor, most influential artist of 20th century
Concepts (2)
COGS (Cost of Goods Sold)
CL_FINANCIALDirect costs attributable to production of goods sold
GMV (Gross Merchandise Value)
CL_FINANCIALTotal value of merchandise sold through a platform over a time period
Synthesis
Dominant Themes
- Know what you're selling and actually sell it
- Ownership combined with high decision velocity compounds wealth
- Business model innovation requires reframing category definitions
Unexpected Discoveries
- Publishing economics worse than restaurant economics
- Prepaying suppliers enables 50% discounts by eliminating waste
- Ticketing provides time machine advantage
Cross-Source Questions
- How do other capital-efficient businesses structure investor-operator relationships?
Processing Notes
Extremely high density of transferable business principles despite restaurant-specific examples.
Synthesis
Extremely high density of transferable business principles despite restaurant-specific examples.