Annotations (18)
“In 1934, Pepsi tests using recycled beer bottles, which are 12 ounce bottles to sell Pepsi, also for a nickel. The amount of liquid in the bottle is approximately free. Whether you're serving six ounces of liquid per bottle, or 12 ounces of liquid per bottle, it's not going to impact your margins that much. And oh by the way, there are a lot of existing 12-ounce beer bottles out there that we can buy up super cheap. Pepsi starts selling 12-ounce bottles also for a nickel.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Economics & Markets · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Pepsi 12oz exploit: liquid free, bottles cheap
“They decide that they are going to offer tickets to consumers, redeemable at their local Atlanta soda fountains for free glasses of Coke. They start mailing out these free Coke tickets or coupons to every address in the Atlanta City directory. This is the very first manufacturer's coupon redeemable at a retailer. This becomes absolutely huge for Coca-Cola and integral to its success.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
First manufacturer coupon aligned all parties
“Christmas of 1984, the executive team makes the decision. They're going to replace the original Coca-Cola formula with New Coke. They've done tons of taste tests. Not only does it beat Pepsi in taste tests, it beats original Coke. People prefer the taste of New Coke. However, in all the research that they conducted for New Coke, all 200,000 people that they did the taste test with, they never asked them how they would feel if this new beverage replaced the old Coca-Cola.”— Ben Gilbert
Psychology & Behavior · Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
New Coke: tested taste, not loss emotion
“In July of 1899, two guys from Chattanooga named Benjamin Thomas and Joseph Whitehead come to Candler with a proposal. They want to bottle Coca-Cola. Candler's extremely skeptical. Thomas and Whitehead say, what if we do it at no risk to you? You let us buy Coca-Cola syrup from you, same as all the soda fountains are doing. We will bottle it and sell it at our own expense. If the product isn't up to your standards, you can just pull our license and we'll stop selling it.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship · Operations & Execution
DUR_ENDURING
Perpetual $1 contract unlocked bottling
“The Pepsi Challenge. The local ad agency for the Pepsi bottler in Dallas had accidentally discovered the secret that Coke and McCann has known for 20 years: that consumers prefer Pepsi to Coke. Locally in the Dallas market, they start running commercials of people taking the Pepsi Challenge. They roll up to a supermarket, plunk down a card table, and they have Coke and Pepsi behind a cardboard screen, give consumers a glass. Which do you prefer?”— David Rosenthal
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Camcorders to bottlers: grassroots at scale
“Lee and Woodruff embrace, maybe I might even say create, lifestyle advertising. This is everything that we talked about in the Rolex episode, but that was much later when Rolex did that in the 1950s and 1960s. This is in the 1920s. Coca-Cola is inventing this idea that through advertising we can associate our products with feelings. Coca-Cola isn't a carbonated sweetened soft drink with unique flavor. Coca-Cola is happiness. Coca-Cola's friendship. It's romance.”— David Rosenthal
Business & Entrepreneurship · Psychology & Behavior · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Coke invented lifestyle advertising
“Coca-Cola realizes, hey, we're not actually in the bottling business ourselves, but we have full control over it. If we really want to drive home to consumers that Coca-Cola is the real thing and have it be immediately identifiable what the real thing is, we actually can force our bottlers to develop and invest in a proprietary bottle. This results in 1916 in the famous proprietary bottle, the contour bottle.”— David Rosenthal
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
Design brief: recognizable by touch alone
“The military and the US government realize, hey, Coke may actually be one of America's best weapons in this war. The military grants Coca-Cola employees technical observer status, meaning that they can participate in the supply and infrastructure build-out of the military around the world. As the American military is advancing in the global theater all around the world, Coca-Cola is right there with them setting up bottling plants and production lines to supply the troops.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · History & Geopolitics · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
WWII: 25 years expansion in 4 years
“When they were selling gallons of syrup to the soda fountains, they sold them for about $1.30 per gallon. The soda fountains then sold drinks to customers at 5 cents a drink. There are 128 drinks per gallon. They're making $6.40 of revenue for a product that costs them $1.30 to buy. I'm not a retailer, but I'm pretty sure those are good margins.”— David Rosenthal
Economics & Markets · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
490 percent retail margins on Coke
“Pretty quickly, Thomas and Whitehead both independently decide, actually owning and operating these bottling operations, dealing with the capital investment of both setting up the production lines and then buying the bottles, recycling them, returning and cleaning them. We've realized we can just assign the rights that we have here. They start subcontracting out little sub-territories to other entrepreneurs.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Operations & Execution · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Franchisees sub-franchised creating network
“Pemberton deliberately designs a 5 cent product that anybody can have just to have a little pick me up, a little treat when they're at the soda fountain. Drug stores at that time were the Starbucks of this time. It really was this gathering place to go and spend time. He says, I'm going to serve this other market of anytime refreshment. Because drug stores were this social gathering space and mineral water carbonated water is thought to be a health tonic, these all mix together.”— Ben Gilbert
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Affordable luxury in existing social space
“In 1931, Coke commissions the artist Haddon Sundblom to create Christmas ad imagery for Coca-Cola featuring Santa Claus. Sundblom is like, well I'm going to make Santa as red as possible, in Coca-Cola red, and then I'm going to make him as big as possible to get as much Coca-Cola red in the picture. This is 1931, before television, and magazines had only just started to be commonly printed in color. Santa didn't have a color. Nobody really thought about what color Santa was.”— David Rosenthal
Business & Entrepreneurship · Culture & Society · Creativity & Innovation
DUR_ENDURING
Coke standardized red Santa via scale
“Over the next 15 to 20 years, by the mid-1920s, it's estimated that Coca-Cola sues and shuts down over 7000 copycat cola brands. This becomes the next critically important pillar of building Coke. Only Coke is the real thing. Coke is real. Everything else is an imitator. It is a copycat. It should not exist.”— David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Leadership & Management
DUR_ENDURING
7000 lawsuits cemented the real thing
“Patent medicines were like this seed crystal that created the modern American consumer business. Before this industry, there were no national brands in America or anywhere else. Everything was local. These medicines, it's just commodities like leaves, nuts, water and stuff that go into these things. It's super cheap commodities that are very easy to obtain in great quantities, very easy to then produce into your product and transform, then pretty small relative to other products, easy to transpo...”— David Rosenthal
Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Commodity inputs to branded national products
“Coca-Cola just needs to sell syrup and spend marketing dollars to sell the dream. It's a beautiful position to be in. The Coca-Cola company gets a tremendous amount of leverage out of the bottling system. A full $47 billion of the $175 billion in revenue goes to the Coca-Cola company, 27 percent of the revenue with just 10 percent of the total employees. Earnings on that $47 billion, they generate $10.6 billion of net income. Net income margins tend to average around 23 percent.”— Ben Gilbert
Economics & Markets · Business & Entrepreneurship · Strategy & Decision Making
DUR_ENDURING
27 percent revenue, 10 percent employees
“If you really boil it down, the Coca-Cola company in a nutshell, it is figuring out how to incentivize partners to sell your product. Everyone is incentivized. The bottlers are massively incentivized. The retailers, there's great margin there for you. The soda fountain operators, the restaurant, the billboard owners. Robert Woodruff had a mantra, an official motto within the company during his reign as company boss, that everyone who has anything to do with Coca-Cola should make money.”— Ben Gilbert and David Rosenthal
Strategy & Decision Making · Leadership & Management · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Everyone who touches Coke makes money
“Patent medicines discover that the best way to reinforce that message with consumers and to stimulate demand was advertising, especially in newspapers. This is the birth of the advertising industry in America. It's these patent medicines that start spending the first real scale dollars in newspapers, which are also coming up in industrializing post Civil War, and building the business model of the media industry as we know it today.”— David Rosenthal
History & Geopolitics · Business & Entrepreneurship · Economics & Markets
DUR_ENDURING
Patent medicines birthed modern advertising
“Pemberton starts selling Pemberton's French wine, Coca, which is still wine, but is now infused both with coca leaves for the cocaine and kola nuts for the caffeine. Fall of 1885, Atlanta institutes prohibition and becomes a dry town. Pemberton's now like, well shoot, I've got this hit product. I need to scramble and come up with a soft version. And this is the origin of soft drinks. They're not hard as in alcoholic drinks. They're soft.”— David Rosenthal
Creativity & Innovation · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Prohibition forced soft drink category creation
Frameworks (3)
Multi-Party Incentive Alignment
The First Manufacturer Coupon Framework
A systematic approach to creating promotional campaigns that simultaneously benefit manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and consumers by designing value propositions that align incentives across the entire value chain. Pioneered by Coca-Cola in 1887 with the first manufacturer's coupon.
Components
- Map All Value Chain Participants
- Calculate Economic Benefit For Each Party
- Design Non-Economic Incentives
- Create Self-Reinforcing Loops
Prerequisites
- Clear understanding of your value chain
- Ability to measure economic outcomes by stakeholder
- Budget for initial promotional costs
Success Indicators
- All stakeholders voluntarily participate without additional incentives
- Promotion scales virally across the network
- Repeat participation rate exceeds 80 percent
Failure Modes
- One stakeholder sees no benefit and refuses to participate
- Economic benefits don't materialize as calculated
- Complexity makes execution too difficult
- Promotion becomes a race to the bottom on margins
Grassroots Marketing at Scale
The Pepsi Challenge Framework
A methodology for scaling marketing campaigns through distributed local execution while maintaining authenticity and grassroots feel. Combines centralized tooling with decentralized execution to achieve both reach and credibility.
Components
- Identify Local Success Pattern
- Provide Tools, Not Scripts
- Maintain Real Participant Authenticity
- Buy Local Media in Each Market
- Scale Through Network Not Hierarchy
Prerequisites
- Distributed partner network (franchisees, bottlers, dealers)
- Central budget for tooling
- Willingness to cede control to local operators
- Technology for capturing and sharing local successes
Success Indicators
- Campaign spreads virally across network without mandates
- Local operators request tools proactively
- Campaign feels authentic in each market despite national scale
- Corporate competitor cannot replicate approach
Failure Modes
- Headquarters cannot resist controlling execution
- Tools are inadequate forcing local operators to improvise
- Legal or brand standards kill authenticity
- Network lacks density to achieve market presence
Counter-Positioning via Cost Structure Asymmetry
The Pepsi 12-Ounce Strategy
A strategic framework for attacking an incumbent by exploiting the asymmetry between fixed costs the incumbent has sunk and marginal costs where you have an advantage. Forces the incumbent into a no-win situation where matching your move destroys their existing business.
Components
- Identify Incumbent's Sunk Investment
- Analyze Marginal Cost Structures
- Construct the No-Win Scenario
- Exploit Time Asymmetry
Prerequisites
- Deep understanding of incumbent's cost structure and sunk investments
- Ability to scale new approach quickly
- Access to alternative supply chain or manufacturing
- Financial resources to sustain initial low margins
Success Indicators
- Incumbent publicly discusses your strategy as a threat
- Incumbent market share declines quarter over quarter
- Incumbent attempts to respond but execution fails
- Your approach becomes new industry standard
Failure Modes
- Incumbent writes off sunk costs faster than expected
- Your marginal cost advantage disappears at scale
- Incumbent finds a third option you didn't anticipate
- Regulatory or legal action blocks your approach
Mental Models (3)
Marginal Cost Asymmetry
EconomicsIn businesses where primary costs are fixed and variable costs are negligible, adding more product per unit costs almost nothing.
In Practice: Pepsi 12-ounce bottle strategy exploiting Coke sunk cost
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Loss Aversion Exceeds Quality Preference
PsychologyConsumers' emotional attachment to an existing product can overwhelm rational quality preferences.
In Practice: New Coke taste-tested better but removing original Coke triggered massive backlash
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
First-Mover Advantage Through Distribution Lock-In
Strategic ThinkingIn categories where suppliers are chosen once and rarely switched, speed to market creates durable a
In Practice: Coca-Cola's bottler network enabled saturation of America before competitors could establish distrib
Demonstrated by Leg-jdr-001
Connective Tissue (2)
Visa as network of networks versus American Express as closed loop system
The Coca-Cola bottling system mirrors Visa's network-of-networks architecture that enabled rapid global scale. Both Coca-Cola and Visa achieved unprecedented reach by franchising execution to independent operators (bottlers for Coke, issuing banks for Visa) while maintaining control of the core system (syrup formula for Coke, payment network for Visa). This contrasts with vertically integrated competitors (Pepsi's owned bottlers, American Express's closed loop) who achieved better control but slower scale. The architectural choice of network-of-networks versus closed-loop determines whether you optimize for speed-to-market or operational excellence.
Discussion of how Coca-Cola's bottler franchising enabled blitzscaling across America and then globally without capital investment, explicitly compared to Visa episode
Venetian Arsenal assembly stations and sequential galley construction
The Venetian Arsenal in the 1400s pioneered what would become Ford's assembly line by decomposing galley construction into sequential stations. Each craftsman performed one specialized task as the hull moved past their station. Both the Arsenal and Ford's Highland Park plant solved the same fundamental problem: skilled labor was the bottleneck to production. The solution was identical across 500 years: decompose complex work into simple, repeatable tasks that could be performed by semi-skilled workers. The Arsenal predates Ford's assembly line by four centuries, but the principle of flow production through task decomposition is the same.
Discussion of patent medicines as seed crystal for consumer brands and distribution innovations, mentioned in passing as historical parallel
Key Figures (11)
Robert Woodruff
15 mentionsPresident and Chairman
Roberto Goizueta
9 mentionsCEO
John Pemberton
8 mentionsInventor and Pharmacist
John Sculley
8 mentionsMarketing Executive and CEO
Asa Candler
7 mentionsCEO and Consolidator
Don Keough
7 mentionsPresident and COO
Frank Robinson
6 mentionsBusiness Partner and Bookkeeper
Archie Lee
6 mentionsAdvertising Executive
Joseph Whitehead
4 mentionsBottling Pioneer
Benjamin Thomas
4 mentionsBottling Pioneer
Haddon Sundblom
3 mentionsArtist and Illustrator
Glossary (1)
quaint
VOCABULARYAttractively unusual or old-fashioned in an amusing way
“How quaint that $100,000 was the most expensive ad of all time.”
Key People (2)
John Pemberton
(1831–1888)Confederate war veteran and pharmacist who invented Coca-Cola in 1886
Haddon Sundblom
(1899–1976)Artist who created the modern image of Santa Claus for Coca-Cola
Concepts (1)
Counter-Positioning
CL_STRATEGYStrategic move where new entrant adopts business model incumbent cannot copy without destroying existing business
Synthesis
Synthesis
Migrated from Scholia