Annotations (8)
“Partners Group spent 12 months as minority owners before acquiring control. Luke Chapman described this as a very unique inside-out diligence process, wishing every time they took controlling stake they could spend 12 months with the team in advance. During this period, they were genuinely surprised by the quality of the strategic agenda and the pace at which Breitling implements things.”— Luke Chapman
Strategy & Decision Making · Operations & Execution · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
12 months inside access beats any outside diligence
“When Partners Group made the minority investment in Breitling in 2021, it was a challenging time to underwrite. The company had just come out of COVID with a lot of noise in the numbers: closed markets, closed stores, and then the bounce back. Through long-term thematic work they had been doing for years, they were able to get comfort around the sustainable revenue base and ultimately pay the winning valuation.”— Andreas Holzmueller
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Minority stake as option on future control
“Breitling's brand repositioning under Georges Kern involved shifting from a very macho, aviation and automotive focus to positioning the brand much more broadly to consumers who maybe weren't aviation enthusiasts but still had an interest. The wings were removed from the logo, controversial for a brand with that history. The boutique design became an industrial loft feel with exposed brick, mezzanine with a bar, possibly a surfboard and motorcycle in the store.”— Luke Chapman and Andreas Holzmueller
Business & Entrepreneurship · Creativity & Innovation · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Logo, space, story: three levers of brand shift
“On the smartwatch threat, Partners Group spent significant time understanding what role the Apple Watch plays in the mindset of a consumer of a luxury watch. Apple sells 80 million smartwatch units per year; the Swiss watch industry sells 16 million units. The market had completely changed. They surveyed consumers and found that amongst luxury watch communities in the above $5,000 price category, the smartwatch is actually a very complimentary product.”— Luke Chapman
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior · Technology & Engineering
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
Different jobs to be done: utility vs status
“Partners Group's thematic investing refers to identifying pockets of strong secular growth and doing real in-depth research on these market niches over years with disproportionate resources, teams working only on these themes, building networks with executives and advisors. This process can go on for years until they ultimately make an investment. It's very much about understanding the environment you're investing in, in detail.”— Andreas Holzmueller
Strategy & Decision Making · Business & Entrepreneurship
DUR_ENDURING
Years of research before single investment
“Partners Group conducted a big survey of luxury consumers and talked to wholesale dealers trying to understand why consumers were buying Breitling. The main topic: how sustainable and what is the quality of the growth. The findings were very clear that there was a consumer finding that this product suddenly resonated with them and the brand message suddenly resonated.”— Luke Chapman
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Consumer evidence over expert opinion
“Luke Chapman on investment decision-making in brands: finding a way to rationalize and build conviction when you've got many strong opinions in an industry with many enthusiasts. They had to distill all the information, the view from the channel, the view of the consumer, and come to an investment decision while assessing that you may not be right on some points. That's the nature of investing in brands: the range of outcomes is broader than in certain other sectors.”— Luke Chapman
Strategy & Decision Making · Psychology & Behavior
DUR_ENDURING
Fewer ways wrong than right: decision heuristic
“The US luxury watch market presents a substantial penetration opportunity. Despite having five times the population of the UK, the US consumer spends only 20% of what the UK consumer spends on watches.”— Luke Chapman
Business & Entrepreneurship · Economics & Markets
DUR_CONTEXTUAL
Personal stories unlock market penetration
Frameworks (2)
Thematic Investment Process
Years-Long Market Research Before Capital Deployment
Partners Group's approach to thematic investing involves identifying pockets of strong secular growth, dedicating disproportionate resources to understanding specific market niches over multiple years, building deep networks with executives and advisors, and only deploying capital after achieving detailed understanding of the competitive environment. This contrasts with opportunistic or reactive investment approaches by front-loading research intensity.
Components
- Identify Secular Growth Pockets
- Allocate Disproportionate Resources
- Build Networks Over Years
- Achieve Deep Environment Understanding
- Deploy Capital When Conviction High
Prerequisites
- Sufficient capital to sustain multi-year research without immediate returns
- Team structure that allows dedicated focus
- Access to industry networks
Success Indicators
- Ability to see through short-term noise in diligence
- Network producing proprietary deal flow
- Higher win rates in competitive processes
Failure Modes
- Theme selection proves wrong
- Team loses conviction during long waiting period
- Organization pressures for faster deployment
Brand Repositioning Triad
Logo, Space, and Story as Levers of Brand Transformation
Breitling's brand transformation under Georges Kern demonstrates that repositioning an established brand requires coordinated change across three dimensions: iconography or logo, physical retail environment, and narrative imagery. Changing only one or two dimensions creates confusion; changing all three creates coherent new brand perception. This framework applies to any established brand seeking to reach a different customer segment without completely abandoning heritage.
Components
- Iconography Change
- Physical Space Redesign
- Narrative and Imagery Shift
Prerequisites
- Customer research confirming new positioning resonates
- Capital for retail redesign
- Management conviction to make controversial changes
Success Indicators
- New customer segment purchasing
- Existing customers adapting not fleeing
- Coherent brand perception in market research
Failure Modes
- Alienating existing customers faster than attracting new ones
- Inconsistent execution across touchpoints
- Insufficient marketing spend to make shift known
Mental Models (4)
Information Asymmetry as Moat
Strategic ThinkingCompetitive advantage derived from knowing what competitors don't know, often through superior data
In Practice: Partners Group's thematic investing approach and ability to underwrite Breitling through COVID uncer
Demonstrated by Leg-ah-001
Optionality
Decision MakingStructuring decisions to preserve future choices while limiting downside. Partners Group accepted a minority stake they didn't want to gain inside access that positioned them to win the majority stake later. The minority investment was an option on future control.
In Practice: Strategy of accepting minority position to gain information advantage for later majority acquisition
Demonstrated by Leg-ah-001
Social Proof Distortion
PsychologyThe tendency for expert opinion in passionate communities to create noise that obscures underlying consumer reality.
In Practice: Challenge of assessing brand perception in opinion-heavy luxury goods industry
Demonstrated by Leg-ah-001
Asymmetric Bets
Probability & StatisticsInvestments where the range of outcomes is wide but the probability-weighted return is favorable.
In Practice: Decision framework for high-variance brand investments
Demonstrated by Leg-ah-001
Key Figures (3)
Luke Chapman
11 mentionsPartner, Partners Group
Andreas Holzmueller
8 mentionsPartner, Partners Group
Private equity investor representing Partners Group in the Breitling transaction, responsible for articulating the firm's thematic investing approach and strategic governance philosophy
- Thematic investing is about identifying pockets of strong secular growth and doing real in-depth research on these market niches over years with disproportionate resources
- Through long-term thematic work, they were able to get comfort around sustainable revenue base during COVID uncertainty and pay winning valuation
- The quality of strategic agenda and pace of implementation at Breitling genuinely surprised them despite extensive pre-investment research
Georges Kern
5 mentionsCEO, Breitling
Key People (2)
Georges Kern
CEO of Breitling who led brand repositioning
Kelly Slater
(1972–)Professional surfer and Breitling brand ambassador
Concepts (1)
Thematic investing
CL_STRATEGYInvestment approach identifying secular growth pockets and researching them deeply
Synthesis
Synthesis
Migrated from Scholia